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Why are so few ordering the 747-8 pax ?

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The proposed 747-8 is going to a magnificent aircraft. It's going to be a gigantic type of Dreamliner with beautiful new interior, lights, seats, etc. I see LUFTHANSA ordered a large number with options but I am dismayed that nobody else has done so for the pax version. Why is this? Why has Boeing had such limited success with an aircraft that is the best jumbo jet the world has ever seen and that is enormously popular with so many ?Perhaps when the A380 program crashes and burns more fully (not that it is really cause for celebration--I actually almost feel sorry for the company and especially its beleagured workers), folks will return to the venerable 747 and give it another 30 years of life ? JS

Jonathan Sacks

Dell XPS Gen 4, Pentium IV Northwood extreme 3.8Ghz, 3Ghz RAM, eVGA 7900 GTO,

12 GoFlight modules plus MCP-PRO AP and EFIS, GF pedestal, CH rudder pedals,

CH throttle quadrant, 42" LG LED, 24" DELL LCD, Windows XP, FS2004, FSUIPC 3.96

FS Autostart 1.1 (Build 11), FS Navigator 4.6, UT, FE, GE, REX, PMDG, Level-D, PSS, etc.

I think Airbus was wrong on their count of a market size. The aircraft is too large and doesn't have any use outside of the revamped airports for it. A reason for not so many orders for the 748 is the same thing. Until the airlines have to do a fleet renewal of their heavies then we will see some new orders.

Chris Miller

I would think that many airlines will be renewing their fleets of heavies over the next decade.Often we don't think of the 747-400 as being "old", but the earliest 747-400's are with the launch customer, Northwest Airlines, and even those aircraft are 20 years old now. I don't expect NWA to upgrade its -400's anytime soon, but some others will.The 747-200's and -300's still in service, with airlines like recently-in-the-news Pakistan International, have even more hours on their airframes.RhettAMD 3700+ (@2310 mhz), eVGA 7800GT 256 (Guru3D 93.71), ASUS A8N-E, PC Power 510 SLI, 2 GB Corsair XMS 2.5-3-3-8 (1T), WD 250 gig 7200 rpm SATA2, CoolerMaster Praetorian case

Rhett

7800X3D 96 GB G.Skill Flare  Gigabyte 4090  Crucial P5 Plus 2TB

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The logistics of loading and unloading over 200 passengers are extensive.Th A-380 was designed for a pre-9/11 world with very low security requirements and $30 per barrell oil. The fuel savings and operational advantages of the A-380 and the B748 are not enough for most companies to justify replacing their current heavy fleet.Maybe in 10-20 years when the cost of maintaining the older birds gets much higher.The "beautiful new interior" means nothing to the airlines. They will buy a couple, but the vast majority will be back to the old sardine cans interior we have now very quickly.

>The logistics of loading and unloading over 200 passengers are >extensive.I dont think this should be of too much concern. At most the A380 can acommadate 853 persons, that is in a all economy layout which has not been selected by any airline. In a standard layout the aircraft will hold 555 persons, only 139 more than a 747 in a similar layout. Also security should not be a issue, all the airports i have been through have security, then the departure lounge where you get your cheap aftershave and tea! When boarding the aircraft all I ever do is show passport and boarding pass then go on, its not as if they search everyone who boards the plane at the gate.What is a problem however is the ammendments to taxi ways etc to allow the aircraft to operate safely, the A380 has been tested in a few European airports and 2 are due to fly to LA and New York on the 19th of March to check compatibility. Dave

>Also security should not be a issue, all the airports i have>been through have security, then the departure lounge where>you get your cheap aftershave and tea! When boarding the>aircraft all I ever do is show passport and boarding pass then>go on, its not as if they search everyone who boards the plane>at the gate.Last time I flew on an air carrier was last year and I had to takeoff my shoes, coat, belt send my bag through the xray machines then be taken off to be questioned and have a puffer blow on me. This has happened to my whole family in the past year and many friends. Thank god for the R182RG my family purchased for me. We won't have to go through security again on our local vacations.

Chris Miller

>Last time I flew on an air carrier was last year and I had to>takeoff my shoes, coat, belt send my bag through the xray>machines then be taken off to be questioned and have a puffer>blow on me. This has happened to my whole family in the past>year and many friends. Thank god for the R182RG my family>purchased for me. We won't have to go through security again>on our local vacations.Wow, I stand corrected! I have only ever heard of this from rumours. All I have had to do when I have flown (in europe, US etc before and since 9/11) is go through security once before enetering departure lounge. Did this happen to every passenger? At the gate right before boarding the aircraft? Its a wonder the airport can get any passengers through! Id love to be able to fly myself to holiday! certainly beat sitting in traffic jams!Dave

I have had to take my belt, shoes off and my wallet out. The security card in my wallet gave a funny reading and it was scanned separately. I have seen baby carriages get a through screening with the wand.What would a 748 be worth?JimCYWG

$240 million.....? Or....$170 million with a good BOEING discount ?JS

Jonathan Sacks

Dell XPS Gen 4, Pentium IV Northwood extreme 3.8Ghz, 3Ghz RAM, eVGA 7900 GTO,

12 GoFlight modules plus MCP-PRO AP and EFIS, GF pedestal, CH rudder pedals,

CH throttle quadrant, 42" LG LED, 24" DELL LCD, Windows XP, FS2004, FSUIPC 3.96

FS Autostart 1.1 (Build 11), FS Navigator 4.6, UT, FE, GE, REX, PMDG, Level-D, PSS, etc.

I lied. It's more ! Official BOEING prices as of now (in USD millions)747 Family 747-400/ -400ER 216.0 -- 247.5 747-400/ -400ER Freighter 219.5 -- 247.0 747-8 272.5 -- 282.5 747-8 Freighter 279.5 -- 283.5

Jonathan Sacks

Dell XPS Gen 4, Pentium IV Northwood extreme 3.8Ghz, 3Ghz RAM, eVGA 7900 GTO,

12 GoFlight modules plus MCP-PRO AP and EFIS, GF pedestal, CH rudder pedals,

CH throttle quadrant, 42" LG LED, 24" DELL LCD, Windows XP, FS2004, FSUIPC 3.96

FS Autostart 1.1 (Build 11), FS Navigator 4.6, UT, FE, GE, REX, PMDG, Level-D, PSS, etc.

>>Thank god for the R182RG my family purchased for me.<

Jeff

Commercial | Instrument | Multi-Engine Land

AMD 5600X, RTX3070, 32MB RAM, 2TB SSD

If you pay pro rata

Chris Miller

If really was such a "magnificent aircraft" with "beautiful new interior, lights, seats" and is "the best jumbo jet the world has ever seen" and is also "enormously popular with so many" then it wouldn't have had limited success. Clearly many airlines don't agree it's so good, otherwise they'd have ordered more.

Gerry Howard

>Perhaps when the A380 program crashes and burns more fully>(not that it is really cause for celebration--I actually>almost feel sorry for the company and especially its>beleagured workers), folks will return to the venerable 747>and give it another 30 years of life ? >>JS>>Yeah, that'll happen. :-roll-

At least in my local airport (PHNL) the logistics of getting 555 persons from the gate through customs would be a bit of a challenge. Almopst all of our 744 flights are from/to Asia. I assume these routes would be most applicable to the A-380.scott s..

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