As many of you know, it's against the law to use insider knowledge to buy or sell stock. For example, a bank president who secretly discovered that his bank was about to fail could not legally sell his shares of company stock just before the price collapsed and the outside public was stuck with the losses. Generally speaking, non-public information cannot be used to buy or sell stock, regardless of whether the non-public information is positive or negative, because this insider knowledge is seen as unfair to the outside investor.

Now, this brings me to the issue of us elite, sophisticated, and extraordinarily brilliant and good-looking recipients of the Microsoft Flight Sim Insider Updates. After all, it is indeed called the INSIDER UPDATES. Suppose a person believes, as I do, that the information contained in these Insider updates forecasts a very bright future for Microsoft? And suppose that I use this Insider knowledge to buy stock in Microsoft before the outside public becomes fully aware of the stunning, revolutionary nature of this forthcoming flight simulator? If I now buy Microsoft stock on the basis of these Insider Updates, am I guilty of "Insider Trading"?

I'm making this post in a funny way, since I don't have money to invest in Microsoft or any other stock. But the issue is something to think about. 🙂

 

 

 

Edited November 10, 20196 yr by David Mills

Even if you knew exactly how much MS was gonna make on this, I doubt it would make any difference in stock speculation.

Edited November 10, 20196 yr by carbonbasedlifeform
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2 minutes ago, David Mills said:

If I now buy Microsoft stock on the basis of these Insider Updates, am I guilty of "Insider Trading"?🙂

🤣 As important as we like to consider the flight simulator arena, I don't think that even a hugely successful launch and massive unit sales of MSFS is going to make much of a impact on a company with a market value of $1.11 trillion. It will barely create a ripple on the chart.

No. You're OK. None of us are going to be the recipients of a dawn raid by [select your country of residence here] law enforcement by virtue of being in the "insider program" news updates and possibly even buying a few shares in Microsoft before the release of MSFS.

2 minutes ago, carbonbasedlifeform said:

Even if you knew exactly how much MS was gonna make on this, I doubt it would make any difference in stock speculation.

True.

FS2020 will account for a very small part of their business given they have a gross income of over $80 billion. 

Even if the game sim were a monster that could sell as much as the most popular triple A title such as RDR it would likely only boost earnings by less than 1% and for a limited period while if it flopped it would hardly make a ripple.

Then again with massive corporations a lot of value is in brand recognition so any successful product reflects well across the board and will likely increase profits elsewhere, 

Anyone got a few million I can borrow?

Real investors may see it as a risk it`s limited niche product unlike games like COD 

Real investors might glance at the XBox division - if that.  More likely they'd look at Microsoft's consumer products in general, while thinking about competitors and the company's prospects as a whole.  No way are they going to pay attention to an individual title.  They might do that if they were looking at a game company like Take-Two Interactive.  But Microsoft?  Not a chance.

Microsoft are one of the richest companies on the planet...ever!, because they OWN YOU! and me and everyone else who uses the internet...so, sure, buy now while you can.

 

Regards 

Russ

Remember, MSFS is only 1 of hundreds of games to be released for the new Xbox as well. The Xbox games have over 60 million users, MSFS, being a niche product, will not cause a blip amongst the more popular games.

17 hours ago, David Mills said:

 

Now, this brings me to the issue of us elite, sophisticated, and extraordinarily brilliant and good-looking recipients of the Microsoft Flight Sim Insider Updates. After all, it is indeed called the INSIDER UPDATES. Suppose a person believes, as I do, that the information contained in these Insider updates forecasts a very bright future for Microsoft? And suppose that I use this Insider knowledge to buy stock in Microsoft before the outside public becomes fully aware of the stunning, revolutionary nature of this forthcoming flight simulator? If I now buy Microsoft stock on the basis of these Insider Updates, am I guilty of "Insider Trading"?

 

 

Although labelled as 'Insider Updates' it is still in the public domain as anyone can sign up to it.    It's not price sensitive information.  People could therefore take a reasonable punt on it.

 

Edited November 11, 20196 yr by ErichB

And Microsoft's big 'thing' is how Azure is being used professionally, not as an entertainment tool. So, nope, a single PC & Xbox simulator/game will not affect Microsoft's share value at all.

I still don't get the whole "Insider Program", although there must be a reason because that's something you see a lot with Microsoft games or software.

2 minutes ago, simtom said:

I still don't get the whole "Insider Program", although there must be a reason because that's something you see a lot with Microsoft games or software.

It's really just a marketing ploy to get people to sign up so they feel they're getting something that others are not..  It also gives them an indication of interest levels and potential uptake..

Just now, ErichB said:

It's really just a marketing ploy to get people to sign up so they feel they're getting something that others are not..  It also gives them an indication of interest levels and potential uptake..

Yeah, that's what I thought as well. Perfect solution for marketing analysis!

Basically, it's a bit of hype to make people feel important, & to get people become alpha/beta testers, almost as an ego trip.

5 minutes ago, Wobbie said:

Basically, it's a bit of hype to make people feel important, & to get people become alpha/beta testers, almost as an ego trip.

Yeah, just waiting for the first plonker to take a selfie in front of the insider page and post it on Instagram.  Cuz that's what people do these days innit.